Thursday, March 12, 2009

Maybe this is the correct answer

No one can keep up with LB at RoadstoIraq when it comes to keeping track of interesting stories. She notes that AlArabOnline, following up on the original AlShorouq story, runs an opinion survey on its front page, that asks readers this:
Stories of reconciliation in Iraq with the Baath party coincide with leaks about an American plan to revise their views of leaders in the Saddam government. In your opinion what do these indications mean?
And when I looked on Thursday evening Eastern Time, the results were:
  • American coup: 35.9%
  • Victory for the resistance: 45.9%
  • Desire for reconciliation: 18.7%
Of course, the results could have something to do with the fact the survey is headed with a picture of Izzat Ibrahim, smiling and waving.

Something that looks a lot more like possibly the correct answer is provided in the accompanying article in AlArabOnline. The journalist outlines what was in the original AlShorouq story, noting that there are two opinions about this: Some think it is nothing but a figment of the imagination designed for media purposes. Others, however, think what is outlined is both reasonable and necessary from the American point of view, ahead of the withdrawal of their forces from Iraq, by way of:
Anchoring some kind of a balance of political forces in [Iraq] so that the situation doesn't tend towards an "Iranian victory", and so as to provide the makings of an equal--and therefore a continuing-- struggle between Sunni and Shiite, and between seculars and religious.
And at the end of the article, the journalist adds that those who think there is something to this story see the American strategy as follows:
The strangeness of the supposed plan actually makes it easier to infer, [in the sense that the plan], if it is true, appears to be a hybrid version of the United States' "dual containment" policy of weakening Iran and Iraq both, as exemplified during the war between them of the 90s of the last century.
In other words, not de-Bremerization, but hyper-Bremerization. See how reading can broaden the mind?

1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Audio of Visser's USIP presentation here:

http://www.usip.org/events/2009/0303_shiites_sunnis.html#audio

6:06 AM  

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